P&C economic capital · Private alpha

AI-assisted
economic capital modeling.

Underwriting, catastrophe, reserve and asset risk, with reinsurance, in one model that runs in minutes. Ask what is driving a result or request a change in plain language, and approve each step before it runs.

What you can ask Aktua

“Which sources contribute most to our 1-in-100 net loss?”
“Copy the base scenario and set the Property XOL retention to $5 million.”

For project changes, Aktua shows the proposed steps and values for your approval. You supply any missing business assumptions.

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Fast

A production-scale group model runs in about 15 minutes on a laptop, and under 3 on a tuned server. The 200-class demo runs in under 30 seconds.

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Complete

Underwriting, catastrophe, reserve and asset risk in one model, with multiple correlation options.

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Reinsurance

Quota share through aggregate cat XOL, with reinstatements and inuring order. If your structure isn't covered, we build it.

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Plain language

Describe a change, review the proposed steps and approve them. The engine does every calculation.

Inside Aktua

What the results look like

Underwriting, gross to net

Premium, losses, expenses and profit before and after reinsurance, with volatility and 1-in-200 outcomes side by side.

Aktua underwriting dashboard showing the mean annual account and volatility metrics, gross, reinsurance impact and net

Every reinsurance contract, in depth

Attach and exhaust probabilities, the recovery curve by return period, terms and utilization, and which risk units drive the recoveries.

Aktua contract deep dive for a catastrophe excess-of-loss layer, with recovery statistics, a return-period curve and recoveries by risk unit

Screenshots from the demo model: a fictional carrier with 200 classes in three legal entities, run with 10,000 simulations.

Economic scenarios

The economy inside every simulation

Each simulated year carries a full economic scenario: yield curves, inflation, credit spreads and equity returns. Claims inflation, discounting, assets and insurance results read the same path, so the capital tail shows the economy behind it.

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Interest rates

Two-factor yield curves for USD, GBP, EUR and CAD, projected annually for 50 years. The one-year view discounts on the simulated curves.

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Inflation

Consumer prices by currency, plus US medical and wage indices. Each line's claims inflation is its own mix of price, wage and medical.

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Credit and equity

US credit spreads by rating and an equity total return, for asset risk and the credit cycle.

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Economic drivers

Insurance results load on named drivers such as rate moves, inflation surprises and the credit cycle, by entity, line or class. See how much capital comes through the economy, driver by driver.

Aktua economics screen showing simulated yield curves and inflation paths for the demo model

Calibrated to public data from the Federal Reserve, BLS, OECD and Shiller, with every source, retrieval date and file hash recorded.

AI Assistant

The assistant works in your project.

It can read the current model context, query calculated results, prepare a report, and propose supported changes to scenarios, reinsurance contracts, and simulation settings.

When you're exploring

Ask for a metric, a breakdown, or a comparison. The answer draws on the project's calculated results, which you can inspect in the usual analysis screens.

When you're making a change

Describe what you want to change. The assistant lays out the exact steps and inputs, saves a snapshot, and waits for your approval before running the plan.

The assistant currently covers selected analysis and project actions in the private alpha. Your team still sets assumptions and makes the final judgment.

See six real answers, replayed
Workflow

From experience data to scenario results

Move from observed experience to selected assumptions, then compare the consequences.

01
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Experience data

Prepare the portfolio

Review claims and policy inputs, prepare earned premium, and reconcile the experience you will use.

validated experience
02
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Calibration

Calibrate the loss models

Compare thresholds, experience periods, and candidate distributions. Save the fit and your selection notes.

selected fits
03
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Capital model

Run scenarios

Apply selected assumptions, dependence, and reinsurance in a Monte Carlo model.

scenario results
04
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Results

Compare and report

Compare gross, ceded, and net results. Report in Excel, revise a scenario, and run it again.

Excel exhibits
Who it is for

P&C teams working through portfolio questions

For P&C teams that need to connect detailed experience work with portfolio outcomes.

Actuarial consultancies

Client engagements

Bring data preparation, calibration, and capital analysis together for a client engagement, with reports that fit the way your team works.

Reinsurance brokers

Program comparisons

Test attachments, limits, and program alternatives. Show clients how each choice changes recoveries and retained risk.

Insurers & reinsurers

Portfolio sensitivities

Investigate assumptions and portfolio scenarios. Evaluate a focused use case alongside your existing modeling process.

Reinsurance modeling

Compare reinsurance structures

Build programs from proportional, per-risk, catastrophe, and aggregate protection. Change attachments, limits, placement, reinstatements, scope, or contract priority—then rerun and compare the retained economics.

Compare gross and net losses, ceded premium, recoveries, and tail metrics to assess the trade-off between protection and retained risk.

Quota Share Surplus Share Excess of Loss Cat XOL Cat Aggregate XOL
Test a reinsurance workflow
Reinsurance comparison Three ways to structure protection
Illustrative alternatives
01
Current program Quota Share + Excess of Loss
selected assumptions priority set
Baseline
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Alternative 01 Excess of Loss + Cat XOL
new attachment 2 reinstatements
Alternative
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Alternative 02 Surplus Share + Cat Aggregate XOL
revised placement aggregate cover
Alternative
Attachments Limits Placement Reinstatements Inuring order
Excel reporting

Use the results in your workbook

Bring completed simulation results into linked Excel templates. Review scenarios, summarize portfolio risk, and prepare exhibits in a familiar reporting environment.

Gross & net lossesTail riskRecoveriesCapital
A focused evaluation

A practical Excel reporting workflow

  1. Select the completed run and results you want to report.
  2. Refresh a linked workbook and review the exhibits.
  3. Reconcile the key numbers against your current process.

Excel integration is evolving during private alpha. The walkthrough covers the supported setup for your workflow.

Desktop by design

The project stays on your machine

Work locally, retain selected assumptions, and keep completed runs for comparison.

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Local-first execution

Core model data and simulation run on the user’s machine by default.

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A shared project

Experience data (Aktua Data), calibration studies (Kalibra) and the capital model share one project folder.

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Reproducible runs

Saved settings, seeds, and completed runs support repeatable analysis and comparison.

✓

Deliberate selections

Save a calibration result, review it, and explicitly apply the selected parameters to the simulation model.

Private alpha

Try Aktua on one portfolio

We are inviting actuarial consultancies, reinsurance brokers, and insurer teams to evaluate Aktua through a supported pilot. We can agree on a portfolio and the question you want to answer.

Discuss a supported pilot Founder-led walkthrough and a pilot scoped to your team.